Members, Turffontein gave us a mixed but very useful worksheet result.
The day did not start perfectly from a main-betting-call point of view, and our Best Bet did not land, but the worksheet still found a number of winners in the danger and value lines.
The biggest positive was Race 5 — Prayersandpromises, who was our Next Best and got the job done. We also had some good cover results later on, with Aladdin’s Lamp, Kisshoten, Tintin, and Cold Shine all sitting inside the worksheet view.
This was not a clean betting-call card, but it was a card where the danger lines did a lot of good work.
Main Highlights
Next Best WON
Race 5 — Prayersandpromises
Prayersandpromises was our Next Best and main support bet on the card.
He got the job done and gave us the strongest official betting-call result of the day.
Race 7 Winner Found
Race 7 — Aladdin’s Lamp
Our Strong Bet was Pressonregardless, who ran 3rd, but Aladdin’s Lamp was clearly marked as the major danger.
Aladdin’s Lamp won the race, and Copper Eagle also ran 2nd from the cover line.
This was a good race read, even though the Strong Bet did not win.
Race 8 Value Runner WON
Race 8 — Kisshoten
Kisshoten was our value runner in Race 8 and won at a very nice price.
This was one of the better worksheet results of the day because the written analysis warned that the race was competitive and needed cover.
Race 9 Top Selection WON
Race 9 — Tintin
Tintin was our main selection and won.
Prince Of Kildare, Force Publique, Buddy Boy and Dark Silver also finished in the top five, giving the race a very strong worksheet shape.
Race 10 Winner Found
Race 10 — Cold Shine
Our main selection was Slender Silhouette and our Value Bet was Legendary, but Cold Shine was listed as a big danger and won the closing race.
The winner was found in the cover line, but the main value call did not deliver.
Main Calls Result
Best Bet
Race 4 — Secret Fate — 3rd
Ran into the frame, but did not win. Queen Leila won the race.
Next Best
Race 5 — Prayersandpromises — WON
Best main betting call of the day.
Strong Bet
Race 7 — Pressonregardless — 3rd
Ran into the frame, but Aladdin’s Lamp won.
Value Bet
Race 10 — Legendary — Unplaced
Did not deliver.
Outsider Bet
Race 3 — Cymric — Unplaced
Did not deliver.
Safe Place Bet
Race 3 — Cymric — Unplaced
Did not deliver.
Race-by-Race Summary
Race 1
Winner: Fish Tales
Our main selection was Up And Up, but Fish Tales was included in the danger line.
Cyber Mo and High Fidelity also ran into the places.
Result: Winner found in the cover line, but the main selection was beaten.
Race 2
Winner: Lady Harlequin
Our main selection was Satisfied, but Lady Harlequin was included as one of the key dangers.
Hoc Est Vita ran 2nd at a big price, while Fallodon ran 3rd.
Result: Winner found in the cover line, but the main selection was wrong.
Race 3
Winner: African Pride
Our main selection was Mount Pinatubo, and Cymric was our Outsider Bet and Safe Place Bet.
Mount Pinatubo ran 2nd, Chapbook ran 3rd, and Karate Kid ran 4th, but African Pride was not part of the main public view.
Result: Main selection ran 2nd, but the winner was missed.
Race 4
Winner: Queen Leila
Secret Fate was our Best Bet and main early anchor, but only ran 3rd.
No Drama was included and ran 2nd, while Celtic Manor and Polly Plummer were also in the broader race view.
Result: Best Bet beaten. Winner missed from the main public view.
Race 5
Winner: Prayersandpromises
Prayersandpromises was our Next Best and one of the strongest support bets on the card.
He won the race and gave us the cleanest main betting result.
Result: Next Best WON.
Race 6
Winner: Errol Flynn
Our main selection was Fire Storm, but Errol Flynn was included as a proper cover runner.
King Harald ran 3rd and Gotta Go Eddie ran 4th, both inside the wider race view.
Result: Winner found in the cover line.
Race 7
Winner: Aladdin’s Lamp
Our Strong Bet was Pressonregardless, who ran 3rd.
Aladdin’s Lamp was clearly marked as the major danger and won. Copper Eagle also ran 2nd from the cover line.
Result: Winner found in the danger line, but Strong Bet beaten.
Race 8
Winner: Kisshoten
Our main selection was Grand Empire, but Kisshoten was the value runner and won.
Money Heist ran 2nd, I’m A Fireball ran 3rd, and Destiny Of Fire ran 4th, all from the main race view.
Result: Strong value result and very good race cover.
Race 9
Winner: Tintin
Tintin was our main selection and won.
Prince Of Kildare, Force Publique, Buddy Boy and Dark Silver filled the next places, all inside the worksheet view.
Result: Excellent race read.
Race 10
Winner: Cold Shine
Our main selection was Slender Silhouette, and our Value Bet was Legendary.
Cold Shine was included as a big danger and won.
Result: Winner found in the cover line, but the main value call did not deliver.
Exotic Result
The exotic structures were hurt early by the Best Bet and key anchor not winning.
The main damage points were:
Race 3 — African Pride winning
Our main selection Mount Pinatubo ran 2nd, but the winner was missed.
Race 4 — Secret Fate beaten
Secret Fate was the Best Bet and main early anchor, but Queen Leila won.
Race 7 — Pressonregardless beaten
The winner Aladdin’s Lamp was found as a danger, but the Strong Bet did not win.
The worksheet did find several winners in the cover and value lines, but the main anchors did not all stand up strongly enough to convert the bigger exotics.
Final Summary
Overall, the Turffontein worksheet produced:
Next Best — WON
Race 5 Prayersandpromises — WON
Race 1 winner found in cover
Race 2 winner found in cover
Race 6 winner found in cover
Race 7 winner found as major danger
Race 8 value runner — WON
Race 9 top selection — WON
Race 10 winner found in cover
The negatives were:
Best Bet — Beaten
Strong Bet — 3rd
Outsider Bet — Beaten
Safe Place Bet — Beaten
Value Bet — Beaten
Race 3 and Race 4 were the main damage races
This was a mixed card, but there were still good positives from the worksheet.
The main betting calls were not strong enough overall, but the danger and value lines worked well in several races. Race 8 was a strong value result with Kisshoten winning, and Race 9 was a very good system read with Tintin winning and the next four finishers all inside the worksheet view.
The lesson from the day is clear: when the Best Bet does not land, the exotics become difficult, but the cover lines still showed that the worksheet was finding plenty of live runners.
We take the positives, review the weak races, and keep improving the system.
You can never go broke making a profit.